Forecasting epidemics of infectious diseases is notoriously hard, but the potential value to society for cracking that scientific nut is tremendous. Now a new approach is on the scene. The traditional ...

Expert elicitation and structured judgment methods provide a systematic framework for quantifying uncertainty in fields where empirical data are sparse or ambiguous. By rigorously collating, ...

In an increasingly data-driven world, data and its use aren't always all it's cracked up to be. This course aims to address the critical lack of any or appropriate data in many areas where complex ...